Sunday, December 10, 2023

Gold declines from 9-month high as latest rally stalls

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Gold prices traded lower on Tuesday as the latest rally took a breather after settling at the highest levels since April.

Price action
  • Gold futures for February delivery


    fell by $9.40, or 0.5%, to $1,912 per ounce on Comex, according to FactSet data.

  • March silver 


    fell by 19 cents, or 0.8%, to $24.18 per ounce.

  • Palladium for March

    declined by $55, or 3.1%, to $1,731 per ounce, while April platinum

    decreased by $10.40, or 1%, to $1,062 per ounce.

  • March copper


    declined by 6 cents, or 1.5%, to $4.153 per pound.

Market drivers

Gold has led a rally in precious metals as a weaker U.S. dollar has given prices a boost, while China’s economic reopening after lifting Covid restrictions has spurred hopes for rising demand.

“Among the precious metals, gold stands out for having risen by more than 5% to reach its highest level since the end of April 2022. The other precious metals are lagging behind, however,” said a team of precious metals analysts at Commerzbank in a Tuesday note.

The Commerzbank analysts cautioned against betting that the rally in gold will “simply continue,” arguing that there’s still a “discrepancy” between the market’s interest-rate expectations and the Federal Reserve’s projections and messaging, which could make gold vulnerable to a pullback.

“Nonetheless, we would warn against assuming that the price upswing will simply continue. There is still a considerable discrepancy between the interest rate path anticipated by the market and that indicated by the Fed,” they said. “If the market changes its view and moves more into line with the Fed, the gold price risks facing serious setback potential.”

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index

was flat at 102.10 in recent trade.

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